utorak, 23.09.2008.

Amerika je u banani, je li Evropa sljedeća?

Izgleda da ipak neće biti „smaka svitasmokin!

Ipak, stvar je još na vagi, i sudeći po početnim reakcijama na „700.000.000.000 US$ bailout plan“ Hanka Paulsona, i jučerašnji strmoglavi pad Dow Jones indeksa, Amerika još ni blizu nije home free!

Kako će se dalje razvijati ova petljancija na američkim financijskim tržištima tek treba vidjeti, ali meni je za oko zapeo sljedeći paragraf (via Marginal Evolution ):

...the total liabilities of Deutsche Bank (leverage ratio over 50!) amount to around 2,000 billion euro, (more than Fannie Mai) or over 80 % of the GDP of Germany. This is simply too much for the Bundesbank or even the German state to contemplate, given that the German budget is bound by the rules of the Stability pact and the German government cannot order (unlike the US Treasury) its central bank to issue more currency. The total liabilities of Barclays of around 1,300 billion pounds (leverage ratio over 60!) surpasses Britain’s GDP. Fortis bank, which has been in the news recently, has a leverage ratio of "only" 33, but its liabilities are several times larger than the GDP of its home country (Belgium).

Ouuups party.

Gadno zvuči ...

Doduše, evropske banke zasad „drže položaje“ i nema naznaka ovakvog raspada sistema kao što se događa u USA (čitaj, nema ih u Dnevniku sretan), tako da zasada Evropa ponajviše, odnosno najočitije pati zbog pada burzovnih indeksa, ali ... ko zna što će biti ...

A mene živo zanima hoće li ove brojke uskoro postati „relevantne“ njami

- 18:55 - Komentari (14) - Isprintaj - #

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